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Nesgroup address: misc.invest.real-estate - Date & Time for the message: Sat, 12 Feb 2005 22:04:30 -0600 /

Author of the message: "John A. Weeks III"

Title of the message:
Re: why are mortgage rates falling as interest rates hikes are occuring?

Text of the message:
In article <I42dnb5c6pQA4pPfRVn-rg@giganews.com>,
"Jason" <jason_jm@hotmail.com> wrote:

> I just dont get it....
>
> Fed has raised the rate to 2.5% with no hint of stopping yet....
>
> But mortage rates and yields on 10 year notes are either falling or at the
> very least staying the same

The fed rate is a short-term rate.  A 30 year rate is long term.
Somewhere in the middle are intermediate term rates.  In general,
for borrowing, the longer the term, the higher the rate due to
uncertainty of the future.  For savers, the longer the term, the
higher the rate of return since you have to cover the risk of
future uncertainty.
What is happening is that we are catching up to be more normal
on the short term side, while the economy is sluggish so we are
falling on the long term side.
If the rates actually cross over, where short term is higher
than long term, we get what is called a yield curve inversion.



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